One of the most important metrics for any new expansion set is the pull rate – the ratio of packs that have rare cards to those that don’t. Sets that have a good pull rate tend to be more popular than those with a low pull rate. We wanted to find out the Lost Origin pull rate so opened two booster boxes and logged our results
What is a Lost Origin Booster Box?
Lost Origin is the 11th main expansion set in the Pokémon Sword and Shield series.
The set was released on 9th September 2022 with a presale price of around £105 ($100). At the time of release most stores had stock available and many had reduced their price from the presale price. This could be due to less demand for this set or because stock was not allocated and stockists received the full quota ordered.
New booster boxes are sealed a with clear film covering which has the Pokémon logo imprinted in white.
Each booster box contains 36 sealed booster packs. The booster packs for this set have four different artworks – Hisuian Zoroark, Giratina, Enamorus and Radiant Gardevoir.
How good is the Lost Origin pull rate?
The term ‘pull rate’ refers to the numbers of holo, half art, and full art (including ultra and secret rare as well as Trainer Gallery and Radiant Pokémon cards) that are found in booster boxes. The higher the numbers of these cards, the better the pull rate. In this set, the Trainer Gallery cards and Radiant Pokémon cards take the place of a reverse holo, meaning that a pack can have more than one art card.
In addition to logging the overall Lost Origin pull rate we also logged the pull rate for each pack art design – Hisuian Zoroark, Giratina, Enamorus and Radiant Gardevoir.
Lost Origin Pull Rate Results by Pack Art
Our two booster boxes contained:
17 packs with Hisuian Zoroark, 18 packs depicting Giratina, 19 packs with Enamorus, 19 with Radiant Gardevoir.
Hisuian Zoroark Artwork
Our 17 packs featuring Hisuian Zoroark included 7 that had no holo or art cards.
From the other 10 packs we pulled:
026/196 Chandelure (Holo Rare)
072/196 Cresselia (Holo Rare)
069/196 Radiant Gardevoir (Radiant)
119/196 Drapion VSTAR (Half Art)
129/196 Galarian Perrserker V (Half Art)
146/196 Hisuian Zoroark V (Half Art)
049/196 Kyurem VMAX (Full Art)
195/196 Thorton (Full Art)
TG02/TG30 Roserade (Trainer Gallery)
TG05/TG30 Pikachu (Trainer Gallery)
This represents a pull rate of 59%
Giratina Artwork
Out of the 18 packs featuring Giratina, 11 packs had no holo rare or art cards.
From the remaining 7 packs we pulled:
070/196 Sableye (Holo Rare)
143/196 Snorlax (Holo Rare)
037/196 Delphox V (Half Art)
135/196 Hisuian Goodra V (Half Art)
131/196 Giratina VSTAR (Half Art)
136/196 Hisuian Goodra VSTAR (Half Art)
192/196 Iscan (Ultra Rare)
TG05/TG30 Pikachu (Trainer Gallery)
TG10/TG30 Snorlax (Trainer Gallery)
This represents a pull rate of 50%
Enamorus Artwork
Out of our 19 packs, 9 packs contained no holo rare or art cards.
From the other 6 packs we pulled:
003/196 Vileplume (Holo Rare)
2 x 008/196 Beautifly (Holo Rare)
081/196 Spectrier (Holo Rare)
134/196 Goodra (Holo Rare)
124/196 Radiant Steelix (Radiant Card)
048/196 Kyurem V (Half Art)
118/196 Drapion V (Half Art)
130/196 Giratina V (Half Art)
This represents a pull rate of 47%
Radiant Gardevoir Artwork
Our 19 packs featuring Radiant Gardevoir included 8 that had no holo rare or art cards.
From the other 11 packs we pulled:
017/196 Trevenant (Holo Rare)
051/196 Glastrier (Holo Rare)
084/196 Arcanine (Holo Rare)
123/196 Vileplume (Holo Rare)
123/196 Radiant Sneasler (Radiant Card)
124/196 Radiant Steelix (Radiant Card)
146/196 Hisuian Zoroark V (Half Art)
203/196 Arezu (Secret Rare)
TG04/TG30 Chandelure (Trainer Gallery) x2
TG14/TG30 Centiskorch (Trainer Gallery)
TG25/TG30 Cook (Trainer Gallery)
This represents a pull rate of 58%
Conclusion
From our 72 booster packs we pulled 12 holo rare cards, 4 Radiant cards, 11 half art cards, 4 full art cards and 8 Trainer Gallery full art cards. This represents a Lost Origiin pull rate of 54%.
If the holo rare cards are removed from the calculation the pull rate falls to 37.5%
The results analysed by pack art showed that packs with Hisuain Zoroark or Radiant Gardevoir artwork have the better pull rate.
However, it should be remembered that the Lost Origin pull rate results posted here were taken from three booster boxes. If the sample were larger with more booster boxes being analysed, the result could be different.
